Wellness is the new vice.
Historically, the most durable consumer businesses were vice businesses—tobacco, alcohol, gambling. Sticky, ritualistic, habitual. We're now seeing those same behavioral mechanics applied to wellness. Sleep scores are the new bragging rights. Health tracking is the new status symbol. When behavior shifts from indulgence to optimization and carries the same psychological stickiness, you get a category with unprecedented durability.
The $9 trillion supercycle.
Health and wellness is projected to be a $9 trillion global market, with an outsized share coming from discretionary consumer spend. Consumers are spending more on how they look and how they feel—and they're taking it into their own hands. M&A deal size and frequency have accelerated for 20 years. This is not a trend. It's a supercycle.
The consumer is ahead of the system.
Consumers are learning about next-generation medicines on TikTok. They're reading about peptides on Reddit. They understand where the industry is heading before regulators and incumbents do. We now have a more empowered and informed consumer than ever—and they're pulling innovation forward.
Status and vanity drive share of wallet.
Two motivations we study obsessively: status and vanity. They drive decision-making, loyalty, and willingness to pay. Wellness has become a vehicle for both—the Whoop on your wrist, the supplement stack on your counter, the sleep score you screenshot. When health becomes identity, the economics follow.
Science is meeting the consumer.
Innovation is accelerating—science-driven skincare, supplements, and Rx products are moving faster to meet demand. Biotech is finding faster paths to market through consumer products. The gap between lab and shelf is closing, and the companies that bridge it will define the next decade.